Together with the UFC’s next pay-per-view event just over three months away, it is time to begin having a look at the betting odds for the card. Two streaks on the card have lines released, and they are about as different as could be. At the main event, T.J. Dillashaw will defend his newly won UFC bantamweight title against the man he took it from, Renan Barao. In their first fight, Barao closed as a enormous -910 favorite (wager $910 to acquire $100) over Dillashaw. The Team Alpha Male member dominated that first battle, scoring a fifth-round TKO in among the biggest anti upsets in UFC history. This time, the chances are much closer, with Dillashaw sitting in -140 and Barao the small underdog in +120 (bet $100 to win $120). There are eight additional bouts on the card which up until now didn’t have betting lines posted. MMA oddsmaker Nick Kalikas changed that today as he released the full UFC 177 betting odds at 5Dimes Sportsbook. ————– MAIN CARD (PPV, 10pm ET) UFC Bantamweight Title TJ Dillashaw -140 Renan Barao +100 Tony Ferguson -265 Danny Castillo +185 Bethe Correia -160 Shayna Baszler +120 Carlos Diego Ferreira -280 Ramsey Nijem +200 Yancy Medeiros -135 Damon Jackson -105 ————– PRELIMINARY CARD (Fox Sports 1, 8pm ET) Lorenz Larkin -140 Derek Brunson +100 Henry Cejudo -185 Scott Jorgensen +145 Anthony Hamilton -210 Ruan Potts +160 Joe Soto -125 Anthony Birchak -115 ————– PRELIMINARY CARD (UFC Fight Night, 7:30pm ET) Chris Wade -140 Cain Carrizosa +100 ————– Brad’s Evaluation: I actually desire Bethe Correia to win this particular battle, just so I never need to hear anything about the ridiculous”Four Horsewomen” ever again. Nevertheless, Correia hasn’t confronted anyone of Baszler’s skill level, especially when it comes to grappling. I think Baszler is able to sift through Correia’s striking and drag this battle to the ground where she will have a distinct advantage. The greatest worry for me is all about Baszler’s long layoff and harm woes of late, and it can be more than enough to keep me away from betting her. Tony Ferguson appears like a nightmare matchup for Danny Castillo. Castillo has been tagged on the feet a few times before, and unlike his charms against Tim Means or Anthony Njokuanihe won’t have the ability to fall back on his wrestling here if the striking doesn’t go to plan. This ought to be quite competitive in most regions, but Ferguson has slight edges that ought to propel him to success. Lorenz Larkin is only 27, but the decrease in his performances of late night makes him seem like a 37-year-old. He looked completely listless against Brad Tavares for 10 minutes, and was immediately dispatched by Costas Philippou. On the other hand, Derek Brunson supplied the toughest test of Yoel Romero’s livelihood in his most recent bout. It feels like Larkin was extremely overvalued as a prospect while at Strikeforce, while Brunson had been missed. This is an extremely tough bout to call regarding a negative or a complete, so I will probably stay out completely. On the other hand, I think Ramsey Nijem is in for a rough night against Carlos Diego Ferreira. Nijem might have a wrestling edge here, but even that’s questionable. Ferreira is the much better submission grappler, and probably even the greater striker at this stage (although Nijem’s improvement in that regard last time out was fine to see). I anticipate Ferreira to find the win, and likely put another end on his resume from his entry skills or Nijem’s questionable chin. Henry Cejudo consistently made for fascinating bouts even when he had been facing completely overmatched competition, so now that he’s up against a valid evaluation in Scott Jorgensen, I must admit this is among my most anticipated bouts on the card. The physical benefits here belong to Cejudo, as does the wrestling edge, obviously. He might not have the well-rounded skill set to stop Jorgensen, but I believe he wins rounds using takedowns and scrambling. Cejudo passed one of the important tests for prospects in his final outing as well, getting broken square on the jaw and shaking it off to win not only the combat, but round too. The big question with Cejudo, as always, is: how concentrated is he? Perhaps being signed by the UFC was the impetus he had to begin taking the game seriously, as in his past appearances (and non-appearances) with Legacy FC, it is quite obvious he has been coasting occasionally. Against Jorgensen that he might not be able to get away with a half attempt, and if he does it’ll make him even more particular. A Legacy veteran making his UFC debut with less fanfare is 39-year-old Richard Odoms. His only loss came to UFC heavyweight Jared Rosholt, but he’s generally been able to restrain and outhustle competitions to pick up choices. That will be hard against Ruslan Magomedov, who actually possesses decent cardio for a heavyweight, to go along with his solid striking. Coming from almost a year layoff, it is difficult to expect much from Odoms, so that I anticipate Magomedov to pick up the win, but he is someone I fully expect to fade when he could pick up a few more wins and face decent competition. The hype on Yancy Medeiros came a bit too quickly, and should almost be snuffed out at this stage. His striking defense appeared atrocious against the two Yves Edwards and Jim Miller, and his entry match was practically non-existent as he was tapped within seconds of hitting the floor against Miller. Maybe that may work to the advantage of his backers against Justin Edwards nevertheless, as Edwards really isn’t UFC caliber, even at this time. Edwards has a good guillotine, rather than many different skills, so Medeiros has this struggle to win so long as he doesn’t dive in that weapon. Edwards will likely come out fast, because he must know that a win will mark the conclusion of the UFC employ. Speaking of pink-slip derbies, the failure of Ruan Potts and Anthony Hamilton will likely be shown the door too, because both put on foul dislpays within their UFC debuts. Potts is an aggressive — but not too talented — grappler, although Hamilton showed enormous holes in his grappling against Alexey Oleinik. On the flip side, Hamilton has some electricity and Potts was set out by one shot on the floor against Soa Palelei. Either man could finish this battle quickly and that I would not be surprised, or they could play it safe and we could be treated to a truly awful heavyweight MMA. If the cost for this particular bout to go over 1.5 rounds is large enough, I might just take a shot there in hopes the bout really is of the hilariously bad selection, but I can’t see myself putting much more than Monopoly money down with this competition.
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